Last Update: 04/05/2026 at 2:50 PM EST

Air Conditioning Raises Warming Risks

Coverage from Phys.org, Time, and others

Articles

5

Latest Article

03/22

Active Days

26

Executive Summary

Studies project AC use more than doubling by 2050, lifting electricity demand, emissions, and global warming while deepening cooling inequality

  • Air conditioning use is projected to more than double by 2050
  • Cooling electricity could reach 4493 TWh under midrange scenarios
  • AC emissions could hit 8.5 GtCO2e a year in the worst case
  • Projected warming from AC ranges from 0.03 C to 0.07 C by 2050
  • Most added warming is driven by income-enabled cooling growth, not temperature alone
  • South Asia and Africa face the greatest cooling need but least access
  • Policy responses include clean power, low-pollution refrigerants, better buildings, and demand shifts

Quick Facts

  • What: Projected rising air conditioning demand and emissions
  • Where: Global regions including South Asia Africa Europe and North America
  • Why: Rising heat and income growth increase cooling use and emissions
  • Who: International researchers led by University of Birmingham scientists
  • When: By 2050

Coverage Timeline: 26 Days

4Feb 25 '261Mar 22 '26

Featured Article

University of Birmingham 02-25-2026
International researchers project by 2050 air conditioning use doubles, raising electricity demand and emissions globally.

Additional Articles

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Phys.org 02-25-2026
Researchers in the United Kingdom warn that by 2050 air conditioning use could double globally, increasing electricity demand and warming with unequal access.

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Time / Simmone Shah 02-25-2026
Researchers say by 2050 global cooling demand could raise emissions unless energy decarbonization and equitable access are achieved.
EurekAlert! 02-25-2026
Researchers forecast air conditioning demand and emissions by 2050 across global regions including South Asia, Africa, Europe, and North America.

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The New York Times / Alan Blinder 03-22-2026
During a forecast heat wave in Utah, Denver, Oklahoma City, and St. Louis, U.S. housing air-conditioning use continues expanding while electricity demand and heat-health risks rise.