Last Update: 04/05/2026 at 2:50 PM EST
Climate Disruptions Raise Malaria Risk
Coverage from Nature, The Conversation, and others
Articles
8
Latest Article
04/02
Active Days
92
Executive Summary
Extreme weather and climate shifts could add millions of malaria cases in Africa by disrupting housing, vector control, and treatment by 2050
- Climate projections to 2050 use 25 years of African malaria, health, and socioeconomic data
- Ecological changes alone have a small continent-wide effect on malaria risk by 2050
- Floods and cyclones drive most added cases by damaging housing and cutting vector control and treatment
- The study estimates about 123 million extra malaria cases and 532000 additional deaths under SSP2-4.5
- Disruptive climate impacts account for about 79 percent of extra cases and 93 percent of deaths
- Largest increases are projected in southern and central Nigeria, the African Great Lakes, Angola, Zambia, and cyclone-prone coasts
- Most added burden is expected in already endemic areas rather than new transmission zones
Quick Facts
- What: Projected climate-driven malaria increases mainly from extreme weather disruptions
- Where: Across Africa, with hotspots in Nigeria and the Great Lakes
- Why: Floods and cyclones can damage housing, control tools, and treatment access
- Who: Researchers led by Curtin University and The Kids Research Institute Australia
- When: Through 2050 under SSP2-4.5 projections
Coverage Timeline: 92 Days
Featured Article
Researchers warn that extreme weather linked to climate change will drive malaria cases and deaths across Africa by 2050.
Additional Articles
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Researchers project malaria cases and deaths rise through 2050 due to extreme weather disruptions to health systems in Africa.
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Hydroclimate scientists project many African regions will experience near-permanent heatwaves by 2065-2100, driven by global emissions and local land-use change across West, East and Southern Africa.
Researchers warn that climate driven disruptions in Africa could raise malaria cases and deaths by mid century.
Researchers warn that climate variability and extreme weather threaten malaria control in Africa in the near term.
Researchers in Peru and the United States report climate-linked warmer, wetter conditions increased dengue epidemic risk after a 2023 cyclone and El Nino.
Malaria control programmes in Chad, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Madagascar, Rwanda, and Senegal report climate-driven changes to rainfall, flooding, and transmission seasons.
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A historical account links UK malaria outbreaks to mosquito ecology and Plasmodium temperature needs, suggesting warming could change vector-borne risk by region.