Last Update: 04/05/2026 at 2:50 PM EST
Methane Surge Driven By Weaker Sink
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03/24
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Executive Summary
A Science study finds early-2020s methane records were driven mainly by weaker atmospheric removal and wetter conditions that boosted natural emissions.
- Atmospheric methane rose by 55 ppb from 2019 to 2023, reaching 1921 ppb in 2023
- The fastest growth came in 2021, with a nearly 18 ppb increase
- A drop in hydroxyl radicals during 2020 to 2021 explains about 80 to 85 percent of the rise
- Pandemic-related reductions in NOx and other precursors weakened methane removal
- La Nina brought wetter tropical conditions that expanded wetlands and inland waters
- Microbial emissions from wetlands, lakes, reservoirs, and paddy rice systems increased
- Fossil fuel and biomass burning changes were small and did not drive the spike
Quick Facts
- What: Reconstructed the global methane budget and drivers of the surge
- Where: Global atmosphere with major changes in tropics and Arctic
- Why: Weaker methane removal and wetter conditions boosted microbial emissions
- Who: International researchers led by Philippe Ciais and Hanqin Tian
- When: 2019 to 2023, especially 2020 to 2022

