
Last Update: 04/05/2026 at 2:50 PM EST
Warming Accelerates Toward 1.5C
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Executive Summary
New analyses say human-driven warming is speeding up, with 2024 the hottest year and 1.5C likely to be exceeded before 2030
- Global warming has accelerated since 2015 to about 0.35 C per decade
- 2024 was the warmest year on record and the first calendar year above 1.5 C
- Scientists say human fossil fuel emissions remain the main driver of recent warming
- Rising heat is linked to more extreme weather, drought, ice loss and sea level rise
- Compound drought and heat events have surged in many regions since the early 2000s
- Paris Agreement goals require steep emissions cuts and net zero around 2050
- Recent COP talks ended without new fossil fuel commitments
Quick Facts
- What: Global warming is accelerating and nearing 1.5 C
- Where: Across the planet with strongest impacts in vulnerable regions
- Why: Burning fossil fuels raises greenhouse gases and traps heat
- Who: Scientists UN agencies and governments worldwide
- When: Since 2015 with 2024 and 2025 setting records
Coverage Timeline: 69 Days
Featured Article
Scientists publish acceleration finding in Geophysical Research Letters, stating warming may exceed 1.5 C before 2030 if emissions remain unmanaged.
Additional Articles
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World climate agencies report 2025 as among the warmest years globally.
Global scientific agencies report in 2025 that warming is accelerating worldwide.
Researchers report accelerated global warming since 2015, worldwide, raising the risk of 1.5C breach before 2030 and higher coastal sea levels.
PIK researchers reveal accelerated global warming since 2015, after removing natural variability, on a global scale.
Researchers publish a Geophysical Research Letters study showing accelerated warming from 2015 to 2025 worldwide, with 2024 the hottest year on record and 1.5 C breach risk rising.
Researchers report accelerated warming since 2015 worldwide, with implications for policy and adaptation.
Researchers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research report accelerated warming since 2015 after adjusting for natural fluctuations globally.
Researchers from Potsdam Institute report accelerated global warming since 2015 across multiple datasets, warning that 1.5C Paris target risk increases by 2030.
Scientists Foster and Rahmstorf report that global warming accelerates, threatening Paris 1.5C breach between 2026 and 2029.
Researchers analyze global temperature datasets in the 2010s and 2020s worldwide, reporting accelerated warming and a potential 1.5 C breach within the current year.
Scientists debate warming drivers as aerosol reductions and El Nino influence temperatures globally.
Researchers report that warming has accelerated since 2014, with 1.5 degree threshold potentially reached by 2028 globally.
Grant Foster and Stefan Rahmstorf report accelerating global warming since 2015 across five global temperature datasets, with potential to surpass 1.5 degrees by 2030.
Researchers at Potsdam Institute analyze five global temperature records to show warming acceleration since 2015 and risk of 1.5 C being exceeded before 2030.
Foster and Rahmstorf report acceleration in global warming using adjusted GMT, in 2026, global scope.
Researchers at Potsdam Institute report warming rate acceleration to 0.35 C per decade since 2015, in a March 2026 Geophysical Research Letters study.
PIK researchers report accelerated global warming since around 2015 using five temperature datasets worldwide.
Researchers report acceleration in global warming since 2015 using NASA NOAA and Berkeley Earth data.
Scientists report statistically significant acceleration of global warming since 2015 based on five global temperature datasets.
Potsdam Institute study reports global warming accelerates since 2015, globally, based on multiple temperature datasets.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research researchers analyzed five global temperature datasets to show warming rate acceleration since 2013-2014 worldwide.
Scientists report 2025 warming linked to rising emissions worldwide.
Scientists report accelerated warming rates globally, with 1.5 C threshold possible this decade if emissions do not fall.
Researchers report accelerated global warming since 2015 across global temperatures, with 2024 readings above 1.5 C above preindustrial baselines.
Global warming rate accelerates since 2015, confirmed by Potsdam Institute study across five temperature datasets.
Potsdam Institute researchers report warming acceleration since 2015, globally, with 2023 and 2024 as record warm years.
Researchers report accelerated global warming since 2015, across global datasets, with risk of 1.5 C breach before 2030.
Researchers report a statistically significant acceleration of global warming since 2015 across five global temperature datasets.
Researchers report accelerated warming since 2015 and a path to 1.5 degree exceedance before 2030 worldwide.
PIK researchers report accelerated global warming since 2015 based on global observations from NASA, NOAA, and Berkeley Earth.
PIK researchers report accelerated global warming since 2015 based on five major global temperature datasets worldwide.
Scientists report accelerating warming and potential breach of 1.5 C limit by 2030 if emissions stay high.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research researchers report accelerated warming since 2015 using five major global temperature datasets worldwide.
Scientists report accelerated warming globally over the last decade based on multiple temperature data sets.
Researchers report global warming acceleration from 2015 to 2025, across the planet, with implications that rapid emissions reductions are required to meet climate targets.
Researchers report accelerated warming since 2015 globally across five global datasets.
Researchers analyzing global temperature data report accelerated warming since 2015 after accounting for natural variability.
Researchers Rahmstorf and Foster report warming is accelerating globally after adjusting for natural variability, with a rate of 0.35 C per decade.
Researchers in Germany find global warming accelerates since 2015.
Researchers Rahmstorf and Foster analyzed global temperature data since 2015 to assess warming-rate acceleration on a global scale.
PIK study finds global warming rate accelerates since 2015 based on NASA, NOAA, and Berkeley Earth data.
Intergovernmental science bodies report that human fossil fuel emissions have driven rapid global warming, with 2024 above 1.5C and COP30 ending without new fossil fuel agreements worldwide.
Global scientific and policy communities assess anthropogenic warming from 1988 to present across international forums.
UN and scientific agencies report 2024 as the warmest year and a 12-month period above 1.5°C, urging faster global emissions reductions.
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Stefan Rahmstorf led a Geophysical Research Letters study showing accelerating warming through 2025 on a global scale.
Geophysical Research Letters study reports 0.35 C global warming rise over the last decade with acceleration beginning around 2015.
Scientists report accelerated warming globally over the last decade, with implications for 1.5 degree target timelines.
Copernicus and international researchers report accelerating global temperature and ice-loss trends in the 2020s, raising near-term adaptation urgency worldwide.
Researchers from the Potsdam Institute warn that warming acceleration since 2015 could push past 1.5 C before 2030, depending on emission decisions.
Researchers warn that accelerated global warming could breach the 1.5C Paris target before 2030.
Scientists warn that warming has accelerated since 2015, raising risk of crossing 1.5 C threshold by 2030 globally.
Potsdam Institute researchers report acceleration of global warming since 2015 in global temperature records after removing natural variability.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research researchers report warming acceleration since 2015 globally.
Scientists report accelerated warming in recent years, with global temperatures rising faster than projections and potential 1.5 degree threshold risk if emissions persist.
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Global climate scientists warn that the 1.5 C limit could be breached by the early 2030s worldwide, prompting urgent policy action.
Global climate studies in 2025 and recent years show accelerating warming driven by greenhouse gas emissions, with rising sea levels and extreme weather worldwide.
